Sunday, March 30, 2014

28-3-14 Friday Trade


Morning Prep @ 9.00am

Anchor Chart Analysis

Today we open the market with some data historical problem. Hence no data can be seen in the previous day and this would slightly affect our trading today.
However, we know that the price still open above the major trigger zone support @1141.6

Opening-Bell Analysis

In the opening range analysis, we see a small range in the opening at the PLOD.
The price open and close above the opening range indicate that the buyer is very aggressive. We can look for a target at 233.0% or even more up to 377.0% just before the previous swing @1161.7.
Entry Chart Analysis

From the entry chart, we can also see that the historical data show a large gap between the previous days. Therefore, it’s hard for us to judge where would be the resistance or support level.
For today, we will just analyze that chart based on the slowest NTRenko chart pattern. It’s good to be conservative on since it’s a Friday, the end of the weekday.











Scalping Strategies

#1 Trade  - Breakout Trade @9.30am

The breakout trade is slightly challenging due to the yellow dotted line acting as the major resistance. It managed to break through the resistance before coming back down to the breakout range.

Entry = 1149.9
Exit = 1149.4
Profit = -$50













 #2 Trades – Wave Long Pattern (AGGERSIVE)

The wave pattern does not actually set up due to the price does not pull back to the 50% fibs, however, due to the high volume in the POT and the recent EMA cross with a steep cloud. The entry was an aggressive one with a small stop loss @5 ticks.
The price stops me at exactly 1151.5, just below the red ema before filling the target.

Entry = 1151.2
Exit = 1151.1
Profit = $30
#3 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

Took another wave entry but with a better pattern as compared to the previous trade. The price bounce at the 50% fibs and the RED ema with a reversal bar entry triggered. Targets were place one tick below the 27.20%.

Entry = 1153.4
Exit = 1154.5
Profit = $110



#4 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

Knowing the TF market personality to be bullish, another wave pattern setup were took and with the proper stop loss below the 61.8% fibs. The price shoot up after the semi-2STEP setup to the 27.2% extension.

Entry = 1154.0
Exit = 1155.1
Profit = $110
#5 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

The price made new higher high with another potential wave long pattern setup. The entries valid with the trigger zone holds at 61.8% and a reversal bar. However the price close below the RED ema and the wave counter reset might perhaps holds the buyer from going up. The stop loss is set below the 61.8%

Entry = 1155.1
Exit = 1154.2
Profit = -$90












#6 Trades – Wave Long Pattern


A bad entree with a sloppy price action, the reason for the entries was due to the yellow ema holds twice just below the 61.8% fibs and semi-2STEP setup. The stop loss is below the 78.60% fibs.

Entry = 1160.0
Exit = 1161.0
Profit = $100

#7 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

This trade is by far the best trade to end the weekday. The price push above the @1161.5 and made a new higher high. The trigger zone support @61.8% holds and price retrace and went to the swing highs. However, price tries to break above the swing @1164.1 twice and failed. This force the initial target at 100% extension moved to the last swing high due to the time of the market @11.00am.

Entry = 1162.9
Exit = 1164.1
Profit = $120

Trades Summary



End of Day Analysis


The anchor chart @12.00pm shows that the price ended up respecting the major support at 1141.6.
However, the most recent trigger zone resistance seems to be holding up the buyer to continue pushing higher.


Looking into the 12NTRenko, another wave pattern long has already triggered but due to the time after 12pm and on a Friday, it’s best to just take the money and run to the bank.

Lastly, the opening bell analysis earlier at 9.30am shows that the buyer is very much in control for today going all the way up to the 512% extension. Now it is setting up for another wave pattern long as seen in the 12NTRenko chart. It could most likely to go all the way back to the PHOD.



Friday, March 28, 2014

27-3-14 - Thursday Trades


Morning Prep @ 9.00am

Anchor Chart Analysis

The anchor chart is telling us to be cautions today as the price is in the middle of the big bullish channel.
We have a trigger zone support waiting at 1141.6 (50%) and 1125.7 (61.8%). Our best opportunity is to buy the low of the channel.

Opening-Bell Analysis

N/A

Entry Chart Analysis


From the entry chart, we can see the major trigger zone support from the anchor chart.
There is a short term bearish channel in the entry chart with a “2STEP” pattern setting up.
For the scalping strategies, we can buy the low of the channel up to the trigger zone resistance.
The entry for the long is when price break 1155.9.


Scalping Strategies

#1 Trade  - Wave Long Pattern


Based on the “Wave” pattern, entries before the market open analysis were taken at around 9.29am.
The wave counter has reset and with the EMA cross to green, the pattern align itself with the trigger zone support holding and reversal bar entry turn green.

Entry = 1152.2
Exit = 1151.1
Profit = -$110

#2 Trades - Breakout Trade @ 9.30am

Opening bell trade saw the seller push the price down to 1150.4 before pull-back into the 9.25am -9.30am range before coming back all the way down to the bearish channel low.

Entry = 1150.8
Exit = 1151.3
Profit = -$50









#3 Trade – Wave Short


The breakout trade has shown that the seller were in control.
With the wave counter reset and EMA cross to RED, the trigger zone resistance holds with the reversal bar RED. All this add on to the wave short entry

Entry = 1150.9
Exit = 1151.9
Profit = -$100






#4 Trades – 2STEP LONG

The price location tells us to buy the low of the bearish channel.
With the 2STEP pattern setting up, entries above the swing high were placed.

Entry = 1148.5
Exit = 1147.2
Profit = -$130










#5 Trades – Price Reversal Zone

The price is at the reversal zone @1143.2 with additional 100% extension fibs @ 1142.7 from the wave short.
This indicates the price should bounce at least for a scalped since the anchor chart trigger zone is just below the reversal zone @ 1141.8

A wave entry was used to enter long in the slower chart @ 3NTRenko.

Entry = 1144.5
Exit = 1145.6
Profit = $110







#6 Trades – Wave Long

Re-entry using a wave long after the one contract target filled in the previous trade.
Trigger Zone Supports align with the reversal bar entry.

Entry = 1146.6
Exit = 1146.0
Profit = -$60



#7 Trades – Breakout Trade @ 10.00am

Entry = 1148.0
Exit = 1150.4
Profit = -$240

Noted:
Stop Loss above the 100 EMA



#8 Trades – Pace of Tape Entry

Entry based on the buyer high volume in the POT.

Entry = 1151.5
Exit = 1152.6
Profit = $110















#9 Trades – Wave Long

Based on the POT, the volume increased from low to high.
Entry long uses a small price pullback.

Entry = 1155.8
Exit = 1154.2
Profit = -$160













Trades Summary



End of Day Analysis


At the end of the trading session @ 11.30pm, it shows that the trigger zone support @ 1141.6 holds with the price bounce.

The slower 12NTRenko chart shows the price bounces at the reversal zone and trigger zone support at least 4 times.

This shows that the seller respect the price level at that area.