Sunday, March 30, 2014

28-3-14 Friday Trade


Morning Prep @ 9.00am

Anchor Chart Analysis

Today we open the market with some data historical problem. Hence no data can be seen in the previous day and this would slightly affect our trading today.
However, we know that the price still open above the major trigger zone support @1141.6

Opening-Bell Analysis

In the opening range analysis, we see a small range in the opening at the PLOD.
The price open and close above the opening range indicate that the buyer is very aggressive. We can look for a target at 233.0% or even more up to 377.0% just before the previous swing @1161.7.
Entry Chart Analysis

From the entry chart, we can also see that the historical data show a large gap between the previous days. Therefore, it’s hard for us to judge where would be the resistance or support level.
For today, we will just analyze that chart based on the slowest NTRenko chart pattern. It’s good to be conservative on since it’s a Friday, the end of the weekday.











Scalping Strategies

#1 Trade  - Breakout Trade @9.30am

The breakout trade is slightly challenging due to the yellow dotted line acting as the major resistance. It managed to break through the resistance before coming back down to the breakout range.

Entry = 1149.9
Exit = 1149.4
Profit = -$50













 #2 Trades – Wave Long Pattern (AGGERSIVE)

The wave pattern does not actually set up due to the price does not pull back to the 50% fibs, however, due to the high volume in the POT and the recent EMA cross with a steep cloud. The entry was an aggressive one with a small stop loss @5 ticks.
The price stops me at exactly 1151.5, just below the red ema before filling the target.

Entry = 1151.2
Exit = 1151.1
Profit = $30
#3 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

Took another wave entry but with a better pattern as compared to the previous trade. The price bounce at the 50% fibs and the RED ema with a reversal bar entry triggered. Targets were place one tick below the 27.20%.

Entry = 1153.4
Exit = 1154.5
Profit = $110



#4 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

Knowing the TF market personality to be bullish, another wave pattern setup were took and with the proper stop loss below the 61.8% fibs. The price shoot up after the semi-2STEP setup to the 27.2% extension.

Entry = 1154.0
Exit = 1155.1
Profit = $110
#5 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

The price made new higher high with another potential wave long pattern setup. The entries valid with the trigger zone holds at 61.8% and a reversal bar. However the price close below the RED ema and the wave counter reset might perhaps holds the buyer from going up. The stop loss is set below the 61.8%

Entry = 1155.1
Exit = 1154.2
Profit = -$90












#6 Trades – Wave Long Pattern


A bad entree with a sloppy price action, the reason for the entries was due to the yellow ema holds twice just below the 61.8% fibs and semi-2STEP setup. The stop loss is below the 78.60% fibs.

Entry = 1160.0
Exit = 1161.0
Profit = $100

#7 Trades – Wave Long Pattern

This trade is by far the best trade to end the weekday. The price push above the @1161.5 and made a new higher high. The trigger zone support @61.8% holds and price retrace and went to the swing highs. However, price tries to break above the swing @1164.1 twice and failed. This force the initial target at 100% extension moved to the last swing high due to the time of the market @11.00am.

Entry = 1162.9
Exit = 1164.1
Profit = $120

Trades Summary



End of Day Analysis


The anchor chart @12.00pm shows that the price ended up respecting the major support at 1141.6.
However, the most recent trigger zone resistance seems to be holding up the buyer to continue pushing higher.


Looking into the 12NTRenko, another wave pattern long has already triggered but due to the time after 12pm and on a Friday, it’s best to just take the money and run to the bank.

Lastly, the opening bell analysis earlier at 9.30am shows that the buyer is very much in control for today going all the way up to the 512% extension. Now it is setting up for another wave pattern long as seen in the 12NTRenko chart. It could most likely to go all the way back to the PHOD.



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